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Posted by: James
Hideki Matsui
Age: 32 Years Old (Turns 33 in June).

Three-year History, three-year splits and last year's splits.

SEASON Team G AB H 1B 2B 3B HR R RBI BB SO SB CS AVG
2004 Yankees 162 584 174 107 34 2 31 109 108 88 103 3 0 .298
2005 Yankees 162 629 192 121 45 3 23 108 116 63 78 2 2 .305
2006 Yankees 51 172 52 35 9 0 8 32 29 27 23 1 0 .302
2007 BillJames 129 485 147 92 29 1 25 87 90 75 76 2 1 .303
2007 CHONE   447 129 84 26 1 18 69 64 51 66 2 1 .289
2007 Marcel   326 97 62 20 1 14 57 57 39 50 2 1 .298
2007 ZiPS   498 146 95 31 1 19 85 100 58 77 1 1 .293

SEASON Team BB% K% BB/K OBP SLG OPS ISO BABIP
2004 Yankees 13.1 % 17.6 % 0.85 .390 .522 .912 .224 .318
2005 Yankees 9.1 % 12.4 % 0.81 .367 .496 .863 .191 .320
2006 Yankees 13.6 % 13.4 % 1.17 .393 .494 .887 .192 .312
2007 Bill James 13.4 % 15.7 % 0.99 .399 .522 .920 .219 .318
2007 CHONE 10.2 % 14.8 % 0.77 .364 .472 .836 .183 .306
2007 Marcel 10.7 % 15.3 % 0.78 .372 .494 .866 .196 .317
2007 ZiPS 10.4 % 15.5 % 0.75 .367 .474 .841 .181 .316

Outlook: Hideki Matsui was the model of reliability over the course of his career and maintained very impressive consecutive games streaks both in MLB (518 games) and combined with his Japanese league experience (1,768 games). Those streaks came to a crashing end on May 11th against the Red Sox when Godzilla dove for a ball and ended up severely hurting his wrist. Now, wrist injuries are a dangerous thing as they can linger and often take quite a long time to recover from (just ask Nick Johnson). However, it is a testament to both Matsui's resilience and work ethic that he was able to heal, get himself into playing condition before the end of the season and then tattoo the ball on his return.

In any case, it's a little surprising that 4 years into his Yankees tenure, I'm still not entirely sure what to expect from Godzilla. He was a ground-ball machine in his first season, then showed a big-time jump in power in the midst of a great season in 2004 and while his power numbers slumped in 2005, Godzilla set career highs in batting average (.306), hits (192), doubles (45), triples (3), RBI (116) and total bases (312). So, you have one down year, one high year and one year in the middle (leaning towards higher). Last year, In his limited playing time, Matsui displayed the same amount of power that he had in 2005 and a better batting eye (much more in line with his stellar 2004). In addition, he ended up hitting far more flyballs than he had at any time in his career while showing struggles against left-handers for the first time in his career. Now, whether those numbers were just a statistical anomoly is something that we won't be completely sure of until the year is over. Whatever happens, it's great to see Godzilla ready to play the full season and with his determination, I certainly wouldn't be surprised if he felt he needed to redeem himself for last year and make up for lost time.

Please post your predictions for the following stat line in the comments section:

AB R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG

Posted by: Patrick
A-Rod was on Mike and the Mad Dog (listen here) to talk about his situation, contract, etc.

From Cliff:

On the 2007 season: "It's a do or die situation. Either New York is going to kick me out of New York this year . . . At some point, either New York is going to say, I've had enough of this guy get him the hell out of here, and we have an option, or New York is going to say, hey, you know what, we won a World Championship, you had a big year, you're a part of it, we want you back. . . . I want to make sure from the fans, management, I'm wanted here."

03/14: Cuts Made

Posted by: Patrick
Some cuts were made yesterday after the Yankees loss. They are Eric Duncan, Brett Gardner, Alberto Gonzalez, Steven Jackson, Jeff Kennard, Juan Miranda, Jose Tabata and Kevin Whelan.

Via Peter Abraham.
Posted by: Patrick
Peter Abraham mentioned that Don Mattingly's father has passed away. He will be away from the team for a few days. Our thoughts are with him and his family.
Posted by: Patrick
I just wanted to post a reminder, for anyone who is into fantasy baseball, please take a look at the YanksBlog.com Fantasy Baseball League. It's drafting on the 16th. If you do join, please don't forget to e-mail me. Thanks.
Posted by: Patrick
Our next interview is with Benjamin Kabak of River Ave. Blues.

When you aren't doing something related to or depending on the Yankees, what are you up to?

When I'm not thinking or dreaming about the Yankees, discussing baseball, watching baseball or sitting at Yankee Stadium, I'm working at my day job for one of the major sports leagues. I'm also blogging on the New York City subways at Second Ave. Sagas. Being from New York, I'm a big fan of things very New York specific. I love the subways; I love the Yankees. And I'm glad I've been able to share my passion for both with readers of my blogs.

» Read More

03/13: Tuesday Links

Posted by: Patrick
Peter Abraham has a picture of Hideki shaking hands with Red Sox pitchers Daisuke Matsuzaka and Hideki Okajima. Quite the media event back in Japan.

Mr. Abraham also mentions Andy Pettitte's simulated game from yesterday. He pitched to 17 hitters. 9 of which were Andy Phillips. The other at bats were taken by Cody Ehlers and Justin Christian. He allowed 4 hits (3 singles).

The best part, I think, is that Donnie played 1st base during the game. The post mentions that Mattingly made a play on a hit by Phillips and scooped a low Jeter throw. Good stuff. Tyler Kepner also has an entry on the game where he observes that there were players wearing #6, #22 and #51 on the field... but none of them were who you'd expect and he has no idea who they were.

Commenter Mattingly fan over at Lohud points to the Rawlings All-Time Gold Glove Team ballot. Former Yankees up on the ballots include Jim Kaat, Donnie, J.T. Snow, Bobby Richardson, Derek Jeter, Paul Blair and Dave Winfield.

Finally, Steve mentioned that Robinson Cano is in the new New Era commercial. Watch it below:

Posted by: James
Alex Rodriguez
Age: 31 Years Old (Turns 32 in July - Don't forget this; it's not like his career is winding down - this man has plenty left in the tank).

Three-Year History, three-year splits and last year's splits.

SEASON Team G AB H 1B 2B 3B HR R RBI BB SO SB CS AVG
2004 Yankees 155 601 172 110 24 2 36 112 106 80 131 28 4 .286
2005 Yankees 162 605 194 116 29 1 48 124 130 91 139 21 6 .321
2006 Yankees 154 572 166 104 26 1 35 113 121 90 139 15 4 .290
2007 Bill James 159 607 178 106 29 1 42 119 124 91 143 16 6 .293
2007 CHONE   556 164 99 26 2 37 110 104 79 121 13 4 .295
2007 Marcel   521 154 96 24 1 33 100 102 74 119 17 4 .296
2007 ZiPS   589 169 110 26 1 32 108 126 88 138 16 3 .287

SEASON Team BB% K% BB/K OBP SLG OPS ISO BABIP
2004 Yankees 11.7 % 21.8 % 0.61 .375 .512 .888 .226 .313
2005 Yankees 13.1 % 23.0 % 0.65 .421 .610 1.031 .289 .349
2006 Yankees 13.6 % 24.3 % 0.65 .392 .523 .914 .233 .329
2007 Bill James 13.0 % 23.6 % 0.64 .395 .552 .947 .259 .322
2007 CHONE 12.4 % 21.8 % 0.65 .392 .549 .941 .254 .319
2007 Marcel 12.4 % 22.8 % 0.62 .390 .536 .925 .240 .328
2007 ZiPS 13.0 % 23.4 % 0.64 .387 .497 .884 .210 .327

Outlook: First off, let me apologize. It was our fault that A-Rod had the season that he had. Our very optimistic predictions for what he would do last year was the straw that broke the camel's back. He can take a lot...but the burden of trying to reach our expectations did him in. Luckily, he & I have sat down and talked about realistic goals to make this relationship work.

In all seriousness though, last season wasn't a great one for Alex. Still, the man finished with a .290 /.392/.523/.915 line with 35 HRs, 121 RBIs and 140 OPS+. It's only because of A-Rod's stratospheric highs and immense talent that we believe that 2005 was a "bad year". He went through his share of struggles and was (in my mind) unfairly reprimanded by fans, by Joe Torre (#8 slot...that was not very classy, Joe) and MLB (Joe Crede miraculously wins the Silver Slugger).

As a result of all this negativity, I've run into a lot of people who are really down on Alex and what he provides to the Yankees...to which I have to reply...really? You're going to start to devalue A-Rod already? I mean, come on. He had one very bad month in June of last year. Here's an interesting little exercise; take out those 22 horrible, no good games in July and look at his numbers before that stretch (.303/.404/.554/.958 with a HR every 15 ABs) and after (.306/.398/.556/.953 with a HR every 15.16 ABs). Remarkably consistent, no? There isn't a rational fan alive who wouldn't take that performance from his third baseman every single year. Oh, and you know what I recall - there was another guy on the team who had a horrid stretch a couple years back (and for longer than one month too). If you can't cut A-Rod the same amount of slack, fine - at least give him some.

In any case, going into this year, A-Rod's apparently lost a decent amount of weight and honed his approach at the plate with new batting coach Kevin Long. I think that the lower weight will really help him in the defense dept. (as will having his buddy Minky at first instead of Giambi). How it affects his swing is something that I'm probably not qualified to address. However, if a reduction in weight helps him to get the bat on the ball quicker, thus leading to more hits (depending on BABIP of course), harder hits and less Ks (as Steve L. points out, his K rate has been steadily increasing the past 4 years), I'm all for it; now go do your thing Alex.

Please post your predictions for the following stat line in the comments section:

AB R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Posted by: Patrick
Mike took a look at his team in the Yankees Bloggers League. That seemed like a good idea, so I thought that I'd do the same for my team. Here is how my draft went (round to the left, overall pick in parentheses):

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Posted by: James
Derek Jeter
Age: 32 Years Old (Turns 33 in June).

Three-Year History, three-year splits and last year's splits.

SEASON Team G AB H 1B 2B 3B HR R RBI BB SO SB CS AVG
2004 Yankees 154 643 188 120 44 1 23 111 78 46 99 23 4 .292
2005 Yankees 159 654 202 153 25 5 19 122 70 77 117 14 5 .309
2006 Yankees 154 623 214 158 39 3 14 118 97 69 102 34 5 .343
2007 Bill James 158 644 203 149 35 2 17 117 81 70 111 24 7 .315
2007 CHONE   593 183 130 34 3 16 110 70 61 98 18 4 .309
2007 Marcel   557 173 123 31 3 16 100 73 56 95 20 4 .311
2007 ZiPS   625 189 137 34 2 16 111 92 66 110 21 4 .302

SEASON Team BB% K% BB/K OBP SLG OPS ISO BABIP
2004 Yankees 6.7 % 15.4 % 0.46 .352 .471 .823 .179 .317
2005 Yankees 10.5 % 17.9 % 0.66 .389 .450 .839 .141 .353
2006 Yankees 10.0 % 16.4 % 0.68 .417 .483 .900 .140 .394
2007 Bill James 9.8 % 17.2 % 0.63 .393 .455 .848 .140 .360
2007 CHONE 9.3 % 16.5 % 0.62 .383 .457 .840 .148 .349
2007 Marcel 9.1 % 17.1 % 0.59 .382 .463 .845 .153 .352
2007 ZiPS 9.6 % 17.6 % 0.60 .378 .440 .818 .138 .347

Outlook:In 2006, Derek had one of the finest seasons in his already impressive career. It was something of an upset that DJ didn't win the 2006 MVP over Justin Morneau (I'm not saying that Jeter was THE MVP...but he was def. more valuable than Morneau). It was a renaissance of sorts as Jeter put up the second highest OPS+ of his career and won the Silver Slugger at SS with the second highest batting average (second in the AL), OBP and SLG in his career. All of this while surpassing 2,000 hits in his age 32 season.

Derek started off last season with a bang with a ridiculous April and after a brief dip in March, remained on fire throughout the rest of the year. Seriously, look through his splits and it's fairly difficult to find instances where Jeter didn't perform. He hit well on the road (great at home) and against righties (he BOMBED lefties - nice little weapon to have to break up a lefty laden line-up, no?). Heck, his worst month was a .292/.360/.372/.732 line that he put up in May while the next lowest OPS was .813 in June.

So what do we have to think about when considering Jeter's contributions for the coming year? Well, for one thing, most scouts note that good hitters eventually learn more patience at the plate age. Seemingly, that seems to be happening as Jeter, who has always been a hacker, has brought his walk rate up to double digits and has now maintained that rate for the two seasons. Along with that seems to have come an even greater tendency to hit grounders. Jeter has always been a groundball hitter but he's really become more so over the last two years. For the moment, he can beat out some of those grounders but in time, that could prove to be a problem. Finally, you've got to start thinking about some regression to the mean. It's certainly expected (it's not often that someone maintains a .394 BABIP for an entire season) but you know - he's the Captain; it never really surprises me what he is capable of.

Please post your predictions for the following stat line in the comments section:

AB R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
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